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DTN Midday Grain Comments 04/23 10:54
Corn, Wheat Futures Lower at Midday; Soybeans Higher
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures are
5 to 7 cents higher; wheat futures 2 to 5 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures are
5 to 7 cents higher; wheat futures 2 to 5 cents lower. The U.S. stock market is
sharply higher in with the S&P 110 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index is 70
points higher. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is sharply
lower with crude 1.70 lower and natural gas .02 higher. Livestock trade is
mostly higher. Precious metals are mixed with gold down 125.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday with trade testing nearby
support early before bouncing slightly toward midday. Weekly ethanol production
rose 21,000 barrels per day, with stocks down 1.3 million barrels on Easter
travel. Planting will likely be slowed again with midweek rains expected for
many. Weekly export sales are expected to be in the 700,000 to 900,000 metric
ton (mt) range. Basis should remain fairly flat in the short term. Double-crop
weather in Brazil looks to keep OK moisture in place for the balance of the
month. On the May chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.69 is support, which
we bounced off of, with the upper Bollinger Band at $4.95 as resistance.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 5 to 7 cents higher at midday with trade edging back
toward the upper end of the range with light product strength. Meal is flat to
1.00 higher and oil is 10 to 20 points higher. South America shows little
short-term change with the firmer dollar likely to limit upside a bit
Wednesday. Early planting should continue around the rains. Weekly export sales
are expected to be in the 500,000 to 700,000 mt range. Basis will likely remain
sideways into the end of the month. On the May chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $10.21, with the Upper Bollinger Band at $10.59 the next
round up.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 2 to 5 cents lower at midday with trade testing the lower
end of the range with the firming dollar limiting buying enthusiasm as we get
closer to oversold conditions. The hard red wheat areas are expected to see
better weather into the end of the month to help conditions rebound with some
areas of notable stress for now. MATIF wheat is flat after sliding with the
stronger euro Tuesday as the currency trade moderates. Weekly export sales are
expected to be in the 200,000 to 400,000 mt range. On the KC May chart,
resistance is the 20-day moving average at $5.60 with the next level of support
the Lower Bollinger Band at $5.42, which we are testing at midday.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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